Here One Moment
by Liane Moriarty
Contents
Chapter 64
Overview
Ethan and Leo exchange texts about the viral video confirming one of Cherry's predictions came true. Despite the unsettling news, Ethan rationalizes his skepticism using statistical reasoning, concluding that one correct prediction doesn't necessarily mean his own is valid. They share their predicted death-age timelines—Ethan's 30th birthday is imminent on October 1st, and Leo's 43rd is November 12th—and agree to stay in contact.
Summary
Ethan is hiding in his bedroom to avoid Jasmine's new boyfriend, Carter, when he receives a text from Leo, whom he has saved in his phone as "Leo Anxious Flight Guy." Leo asks whether Ethan has seen the viral video of the young woman's death and wonders if it might be fake. Ethan has already seen the video and verified its authenticity through a Tasmanian news report about a fatal two-vehicle crash. He suspects Leo already knows it's real.
Ethan replies that he believes it was pure chance that the lady on the plane got one prediction right. Leo agrees and says he's "not worried yet." They exchange information about their upcoming predicted ages of death: Ethan turns thirty on October 1st, which is approaching soon, and Leo turns forty-three on November 12th. They agree to keep in touch.
Despite the confirmed death, Ethan can't bring himself to feel truly frightened. He reasons that it would be statistically unlikely for both him and Harvey (Kayla Halfpenny) to die young, but then recalls a statistics lesson about the "birthday paradox," which demonstrates that people tend to underestimate probabilities by placing themselves at the center of the universe. He recognizes that Harvey's death doesn't change his own odds of dying—his chances remain what they always were, which he finds sobering but not alarming.
Ethan hears Carter's booming voice from elsewhere in the apartment and shudders with displeasure. He picks up a grip-strengthening tool his surgeon recommended for rehabilitation after his cast was removed, and begins doing his exercises, noting that his wrist still aches because he hasn't been diligent enough with the regimen.
Who Appears
- EthanYoung man approaching his 30th birthday, skeptical of the death prediction, recovering from a wrist injury.
- LeoAnxious man from the flight who texts Ethan about the viral video; turns 43 on November 12th.
- CarterJasmine's new boyfriend whose loud presence in the apartment annoys Ethan.
- JasmineEthan's housemate or partner whose new boyfriend Carter is staying at the apartment.